Análisis Ureña vs Falcon
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 2014 |
TAC
3 - 1
URE
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 0
URE
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 ago. 2014 |
URE
0 - 0
YAR
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2014 |
URE
3 - 2
TAC
16%
23%
60%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +2 |
| 17 ago. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 2
URE
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
Partidos
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 2014 |
ZUL
0 - 0
FAL
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 0
CAR
25%
25%
49%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 ago. 2014 |
FAL
4 - 3
ZAM
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 ago. 2014 |
FAL
0 - 3
ZUL
26%
24%
51%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 2014 |
YAR
2 - 0
FAL
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |