Análisis URSS Sub21 vs Hungría Sub21

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad del hándicap

38.5%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.41
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%

25.5%

Empate

0-0

6.3%

1-1

12%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

25.5%

36%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

URSS Sub21

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
27 ago. 1991	NOR 0 - 1 SUN 70% 17% 13%	55	65	10	0
12 jun. 1991	ITA 1 - 0 SUN 79% 16% 6%	56	77	21	-1
18 abr. 1991	HUN 0 - 0 SUN 75% 15% 10%	55	72	17	+1
26 mar. 1991	GER 1 - 1 SUN 83% 13% 4%	54	77	23	+1
17 oct. 1990	SUN 3 - 1 YUG 64% 22% 14%	54	46	8	0

Partidos

Hungría Sub21

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
02 may. 1991	HUN 0 - 1 ITA 42% 24% 34%	72	78	6	0
18 abr. 1991	HUN 0 - 0 SUN 75% 15% 10%	72	55	17	0
18 oct. 1990	ITA 1 - 0 HUN 65% 20% 15%	72	77	5	0
09 oct. 1990	NOR 3 - 1 HUN 28% 27% 45%	73	61	12	-1
14 nov. 1989	ESP 1 - 0 HUN 54% 25% 22%	73	74	1	0