Análisis Uruguay Sub20 vs Ecuador Sub20
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.77
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.8%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay Sub20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2003 |
PAR
2 - 1
URU
34%
25%
42%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2003 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2003 |
URU
4 - 1
BOL
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 2003 |
BRA
2 - 0
URU
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2003 |
PER
1 - 4
URU
9%
18%
73%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Partidos
Ecuador Sub20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 2003 |
ARG
4 - 0
ECU
87%
10%
3%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2003 |
ECU
1 - 4
COL
25%
24%
52%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 ene. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 1
PER
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 ene. 2003 |
ECU
0 - 3
BRA
6%
16%
78%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 ene. 2003 |
BOL
0 - 2
ECU
33%
24%
42%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |