Análisis Uruguay Sub20 vs Ecuador Sub20
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.76
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.6%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.55
Goles esperados
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Uruguay Sub20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2005 |
URU
0 - 0
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2005 |
URU
0 - 0
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2003 |
BRA
2 - 1
URU
73%
17%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 ene. 2003 |
COL
2 - 1
URU
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2003 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
Ecuador Sub20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 2005 |
BRA
5 - 0
ECU
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 3
PAR
14%
21%
66%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2003 |
ECU
0 - 2
BRA
5%
15%
80%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2003 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 ene. 2003 |
ARG
4 - 0
ECU
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |