Análisis Alençon vs Caen II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
26.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.53
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
53.1%
Probabilidad gana
2.21
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
-39%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 2019 |
FCR
3 - 0
ALE
84%
12%
4%
|
23 | 58 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2018 |
ALE
3 - 3
BAY
75%
15%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 2018 |
ALE
2 - 3
DIE
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 2
ALE
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 nov. 2018 |
ALE
2 - 2
CAE
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 0
DIE
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2018 |
QUE
2 - 2
CAE
26%
22%
52%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 2
SAI
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2018 |
AVR
2 - 2
CAE
29%
21%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2018 |
GON
0 - 1
CAE
16%
20%
65%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |