Análisis Triestina vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
27.1%
Empate
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
22.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 1986 |
TRI
3 - 0
CAG
53%
28%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1986 |
TAR
0 - 0
TRI
32%
34%
35%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1986 |
TRI
3 - 1
PES
54%
28%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 0
TRI
53%
28%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
63%
25%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 1986 |
MES
1 - 1
PIS
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 1986 |
BOL
1 - 1
MES
52%
27%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1986 |
MES
2 - 1
GEN
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1986 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 oct. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MES
43%
30%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |