Análisis USM Alger vs ES Tunis
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2007 |
TLE
1 - 1
USM
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2007 |
USM
2 - 0
ORA
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2007 |
CAB
0 - 2
USM
32%
29%
39%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2006 |
USM
2 - 1
BEJ
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 1
USM
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2007 |
ESP
4 - 0
REN
90%
8%
3%
|
73 | 12 | 61 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2007 |
CLU
1 - 0
ESP
51%
26%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 2006 |
EOG
0 - 1
ESP
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2006 |
ESP
3 - 1
CSH
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2006 |
CSS
0 - 0
ESP
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |