Análisis UTC Cajamarca vs Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-45%
-22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 jun. 2007 |
UTC
1 - 1
SMA
48%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 2007 |
AYA
1 - 1
UTC
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2007 |
UTC
1 - 0
ACO
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2007 |
IAS
0 - 0
UTC
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2006 |
UTC
0 - 1
LOS
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 jun. 2007 |
VAL
1 - 0
ALF
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2007 |
ALF
0 - 5
LOS
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 jun. 2007 |
LOS
2 - 0
ALF
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 may. 2007 |
ALF
1 - 1
UNI
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2006 |
DCU
4 - 1
ALF
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -2 |