Copa Libertadores Jor. 5

Análisis UTC Cajamarca vs Bolívar

UTC Cajamarca Bolívar
67 ELO 74
1% Tilt -1.9%
1642º Ranking ELO general 1082º
16º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
45.3%
UTC Cajamarca
22.8%
Empate
31.9%
Bolívar

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
45.3%
Probabilidad gana
UTC Cajamarca
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.9%
Probabilidad gana
Bolívar
1.48
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
UTC Cajamarca
-12%
+33%
Bolívar

Progresión del ELO

UTC Cajamarca
Bolívar
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

UTC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 may. 1986
UTC
UTC Cajamarca
1 - 3
Universitario de Deportes
UNI
45%
23%
33%
68 75 7 0
14 may. 1986
JWI
Jorge Wilstermann
2 - 0
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
49%
23%
29%
69 66 3 -1
11 may. 1986
BOL
Bolívar
2 - 1
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
67%
18%
16%
69 74 5 0
27 abr. 1986
UNI
Universitario de Deportes
2 - 0
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
70%
16%
13%
70 76 6 -1

Partidos

Bolívar
Bolívar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 may. 1986
UNI
Universitario de Deportes
3 - 0
Bolívar
BOL
59%
20%
21%
75 76 1 0
18 may. 1986
JWI
Jorge Wilstermann
1 - 2
Bolívar
BOL
40%
24%
36%
75 67 8 0
13 may. 1986
BOL
Bolívar
4 - 0
Universitario de Deportes
UNI
58%
20%
22%
74 76 2 +1
11 may. 1986
BOL
Bolívar
2 - 1
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
67%
18%
16%
74 69 5 0
27 abr. 1986
BOL
Bolívar
2 - 0
Jorge Wilstermann
JWI
72%
16%
12%
73 65 8 +1