Copa del Rey Semifinal
Global 5-4
Análisis Valencia vs Barcelona
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
66.6%
Probabilidad gana
2.75
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
16.6%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
16.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.36
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 1949 |
RSO
1 - 2
VCF
47%
22%
31%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1949 |
VCF
3 - 2
RSO
82%
11%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1949 |
VCF
2 - 0
SEV
74%
15%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1949 |
VAD
1 - 1
VCF
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 1949 |
VCF
5 - 0
ATH
68%
16%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 may. 1949 |
FCB
5 - 0
GRA
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1949 |
GRA
2 - 2
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1949 |
FCB
9 - 0
GIR
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 1949 |
FCB
2 - 1
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 abr. 1949 |
SEV
1 - 2
FCB
51%
22%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |