Análisis Valencia vs CD Castellón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.92
Goles esperados
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
7.8%
Empate
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.8%
4.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 feb. 1942 |
OVI
1 - 1
VCF
44%
21%
34%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 1942 |
VCF
8 - 1
SEV
67%
17%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1942 |
DEP
0 - 3
VCF
34%
22%
44%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 1942 |
VCF
4 - 2
FCB
69%
16%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 ene. 1942 |
ATH
2 - 3
VCF
68%
16%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 1942 |
CAS
0 - 3
RMA
23%
22%
55%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 1942 |
CEL
1 - 2
CAS
75%
13%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 1942 |
CAS
2 - 0
ESP
18%
19%
64%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 feb. 1942 |
HER
0 - 1
CAS
65%
17%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 ene. 1942 |
ATM
4 - 4
CAS
91%
6%
3%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |