Análisis Valencia vs Celta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 1930 |
CEL
2 - 0
VCF
52%
21%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 1930 |
SPO
2 - 1
VCF
51%
21%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 1930 |
VCF
4 - 0
MUR
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 1930 |
SEV
4 - 0
VCF
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 mar. 1930 |
VCF
3 - 1
ISC
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 1930 |
CEL
2 - 0
VCF
52%
21%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 jun. 1929 |
BET
3 - 1
CEL
48%
21%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -4 |
| 26 jun. 1929 |
CEL
3 - 3
OVI
58%
19%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 jun. 1929 |
CEL
1 - 1
SPO
52%
20%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 1929 |
VCF
3 - 2
CEL
53%
20%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |