Análisis Valencia vs Celta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.32
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.4%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
8.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 1944 |
ESP
0 - 3
VCF
39%
23%
38%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 1944 |
VCF
2 - 0
CAS
78%
13%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 1944 |
ATM
4 - 2
VCF
55%
20%
26%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 1944 |
VCF
3 - 0
GRA
81%
11%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 1944 |
SEV
0 - 2
VCF
57%
19%
24%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 1944 |
CEL
3 - 2
ATH
40%
23%
38%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 1944 |
RMA
3 - 0
CEL
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 1944 |
CEL
0 - 3
SAB
68%
17%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 feb. 1944 |
OVI
5 - 1
CEL
75%
13%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 ene. 1944 |
RSO
1 - 1
CEL
57%
19%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |