Análisis Valencia vs Celta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.99
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.3%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 1954 |
SPO
5 - 2
VCF
29%
24%
48%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1954 |
VCF
3 - 3
VAD
79%
13%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1954 |
RJA
3 - 1
VCF
31%
23%
46%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 1954 |
VCF
4 - 3
RSO
73%
15%
12%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1954 |
ATM
3 - 0
VCF
57%
20%
23%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 mar. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 0
ESP
53%
22%
26%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 1954 |
CEL
5 - 2
SPO
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1954 |
VAD
0 - 3
CEL
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 feb. 1954 |
CEL
0 - 0
RJA
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 1954 |
RSO
4 - 4
CEL
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |