Análisis Valencia vs Celta
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 1986 |
RMC
1 - 2
VCF
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1986 |
FIG
0 - 1
VCF
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 1986 |
VCF
1 - 0
MAL
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 may. 1986 |
BET
2 - 1
VCF
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1986 |
VCF
1 - 2
BET
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 1986 |
CEL
2 - 0
FIG
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1986 |
MAL
2 - 0
CEL
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 ago. 1986 |
CEL
2 - 1
LOG
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 may. 1986 |
ESP
2 - 0
CEL
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1986 |
CEL
3 - 2
ESP
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |