Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-7
Análisis Valencia vs Espanyol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
50.6%
Probabilidad gana
2.22
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
29%
Probabilidad gana
1.66
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 1936 |
ESP
1 - 0
VCF
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1936 |
OVI
4 - 3
VCF
70%
15%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 1936 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATM
57%
20%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1936 |
ESP
3 - 2
VCF
58%
19%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1936 |
VCF
5 - 2
HER
64%
18%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 1936 |
ESP
1 - 0
VCF
61%
18%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1936 |
ESP
1 - 1
RAC
51%
20%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 1936 |
SEV
2 - 0
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 1936 |
ESP
3 - 2
VCF
58%
19%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 1936 |
ATM
3 - 2
ESP
45%
20%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |