Análisis Valencia vs Espanyol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.98
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.2%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 1948 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
61%
19%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1948 |
VCF
1 - 0
SEV
68%
17%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1948 |
SPO
1 - 4
VCF
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 1948 |
VCF
2 - 1
RSO
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1947 |
VCF
7 - 1
CEL
73%
15%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ene. 1948 |
SAB
3 - 3
ESP
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 2
ATM
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1948 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 1948 |
ESP
5 - 1
SPO
61%
18%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 1947 |
ESP
2 - 0
RSO
67%
17%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |