Análisis Valencia vs Espanyol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 1984 |
ELC
0 - 1
VCF
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1984 |
VCF
1 - 0
SEV
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 may. 1984 |
SEV
1 - 0
VCF
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 1984 |
MUR
3 - 3
VCF
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 1984 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATH
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 0
ATM
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 1984 |
ATM
4 - 2
ESP
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 jun. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 2
ATM
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1984 |
MUR
1 - 4
ESP
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 may. 1984 |
ESP
2 - 1
MUR
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |