Análisis Valencia vs Espanyol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.38
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 dic. 2009 |
DEP
0 - 0
VCF
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 2
VCF
21%
21%
58%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2009 |
VCF
2 - 3
RMA
46%
24%
30%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 dic. 2009 |
ATH
1 - 2
VCF
33%
26%
41%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2009 |
VCF
3 - 1
LIL
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 dic. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
ALM
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2009 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 dic. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 4
RAC
53%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
ATM
4 - 0
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 2
GET
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |