Análisis Valencia vs Espanyol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 0
VCF
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 0
VCF
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 1
VCF
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2014 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2014 |
VCF
2 - 0
LEV
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 1
RMA
6%
13%
81%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 0
CEL
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 ene. 2014 |
ESP
4 - 2
ALC
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 1
RMA
7%
14%
79%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
ESP
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |