Análisis Valencia vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.97
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.5%
Empate
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 1934 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
33%
22%
45%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1934 |
VCF
6 - 2
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 1934 |
MUR
1 - 3
VCF
49%
20%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 1934 |
RAC
6 - 2
VCF
62%
18%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 1934 |
VCF
7 - 1
RAC
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +2 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 1934 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
33%
22%
45%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1934 |
HER
2 - 0
DEP
48%
21%
31%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 mar. 1934 |
DEP
0 - 1
HER
73%
15%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 1934 |
HER
2 - 3
CDT
52%
21%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 1934 |
CDT
1 - 4
HER
70%
16%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |