Análisis Valencia vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.49
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.1%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 1954 |
RSO
3 - 0
VCF
38%
23%
40%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1954 |
VCF
2 - 1
VAD
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1954 |
DEP
2 - 1
VCF
31%
24%
45%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1954 |
VCF
4 - 1
FCB
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1954 |
ATH
7 - 0
VCF
60%
19%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 1954 |
HER
4 - 0
ATM
31%
24%
46%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 1
HER
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 1954 |
HER
0 - 0
ESP
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1954 |
ALA
2 - 0
HER
55%
22%
24%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 oct. 1954 |
HER
1 - 1
SEV
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |