Análisis Valencia vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.26
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11%
Empate
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 1955 |
DEP
3 - 3
VCF
40%
23%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1955 |
VCF
4 - 1
MUR
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1955 |
ATM
3 - 1
VCF
62%
18%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 1955 |
VCF
1 - 1
RSO
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1955 |
CUL
3 - 0
VCF
27%
23%
50%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 1955 |
HER
0 - 4
RMA
24%
22%
54%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1955 |
SEV
3 - 0
HER
81%
11%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1955 |
HER
2 - 0
VAD
45%
23%
32%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 oct. 1955 |
ALA
4 - 0
HER
54%
21%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 oct. 1955 |
HER
2 - 3
FCB
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |