Análisis Valencia vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 1977 |
BUR
0 - 3
VCF
13%
19%
68%
|
81 | 28 | 53 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1977 |
RAC
2 - 2
VCF
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1977 |
VCF
3 - 0
CAD
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1977 |
ATM
3 - 0
VCF
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 may. 1977 |
ATM
2 - 3
VCF
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 1977 |
HER
1 - 1
RAY
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1977 |
HER
6 - 0
ALZ
81%
13%
7%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1977 |
ELC
2 - 0
HER
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1977 |
HER
1 - 0
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 1977 |
HER
2 - 1
BET
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |