Análisis Valencia vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 1987 |
VCF
3 - 1
LOG
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1987 |
REC
1 - 1
VCF
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1987 |
VCF
4 - 1
HER
68%
19%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1987 |
DEP
1 - 1
VCF
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 1987 |
VCF
4 - 1
OVI
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 1987 |
XER
0 - 1
HER
36%
31%
34%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1987 |
HER
0 - 0
CEL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 1987 |
VCF
4 - 1
HER
68%
19%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 1987 |
HER
2 - 0
FIG
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 mar. 1987 |
MAL
1 - 2
HER
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |