Análisis Valencia vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.37
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 1996 |
DEP
1 - 0
VCF
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 1996 |
BJK
2 - 2
VCF
48%
25%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 1996 |
VCF
2 - 0
CEL
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1996 |
RMA
4 - 2
VCF
60%
21%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 1996 |
VCF
3 - 1
BJK
58%
23%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 1996 |
HER
3 - 0
SEV
32%
28%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 1996 |
LOG
3 - 2
HER
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 1996 |
HER
2 - 0
LEV
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1996 |
HER
1 - 0
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 nov. 1996 |
CDT
3 - 1
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |