Análisis Valencia vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.74
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.5%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.63
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 1997 |
VCF
1 - 1
OVI
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1997 |
CEL
1 - 0
VCF
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1997 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATH
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1997 |
HER
0 - 3
VCF
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1997 |
VAD
0 - 3
VCF
39%
26%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 1997 |
XER
0 - 0
HER
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1997 |
HER
1 - 0
RJA
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 1997 |
CDO
2 - 0
HER
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 oct. 1997 |
HER
4 - 3
LLE
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 oct. 1997 |
HER
0 - 3
VCF
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |