Copa del Rey 1/16

Global 4-1

Análisis Valencia vs Jerez FC

Valencia Jerez FC
88 ELO 71
13.9% Tilt 2.8%
50º Ranking ELO general 29914º
11º Ranking ELO país 9063º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
85.1%
Valencia
9.4%
Empate
5.5%
Jerez FC

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85%
Probabilidad de victoria
Valencia
3.45
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.4%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
Jerez FC
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Valencia
Jerez FC
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 dic. 1944
CAS
CD Castellón
0 - 0
Valencia
VCF
38%
23%
39%
87 80 7 0
10 dic. 1944
VCF
Valencia
4 - 0
Granada
GRA
79%
12%
9%
87 77 10 0
03 dic. 1944
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Valencia
VCF
55%
20%
26%
88 85 3 -1
26 nov. 1944
VCF
Valencia
5 - 0
Atlético
ATM
71%
15%
14%
87 85 2 +1
19 nov. 1944
SEV
Sevilla
3 - 2
Valencia
VCF
54%
20%
26%
87 84 3 0

Partidos

Jerez FC
Jerez FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 dic. 1944
JFC
Jerez FC
1 - 1
Real Sociedad
RSO
58%
20%
22%
71 71 0 0
10 dic. 1944
ALC
Alcoyano
1 - 1
Jerez FC
JFC
52%
21%
27%
71 68 3 0
03 dic. 1944
JFC
Jerez FC
2 - 0
Mallorca
MLL
78%
13%
10%
71 58 13 0
26 nov. 1944
HER
Hércules
1 - 2
Jerez FC
JFC
52%
22%
26%
70 70 0 +1
19 nov. 1944
JFC
Jerez FC
4 - 3
Racing
RAC
67%
17%
16%
70 60 10 0