Análisis Valencia vs Málaga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2015 |
ATH
3 - 1
VCF
41%
27%
32%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2015 |
LYO
0 - 1
VCF
29%
27%
43%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 2015 |
VCF
1 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 0
VCF
26%
27%
48%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2015 |
VCF
0 - 0
BET
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 oct. 2015 |
MAL
3 - 1
RSO
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2015 |
RMA
0 - 0
MAL
90%
8%
3%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 sep. 2015 |
MAL
0 - 1
VIL
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 2015 |
GET
1 - 0
MAL
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2015 |
MAL
0 - 0
EIB
66%
22%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |