Análisis Valencia vs Numancia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.1%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.6
Goles esperados
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 2008 |
VAD
0 - 1
VCF
27%
27%
45%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2008 |
VCF
2 - 1
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2008 |
VCF
4 - 2
DEP
61%
23%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2008 |
MAL
0 - 2
VCF
25%
26%
49%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2008 |
VCF
1 - 0
OSA
64%
22%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 2008 |
DEP
1 - 0
NUM
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2008 |
NUM
0 - 0
OSA
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2008 |
MLL
2 - 0
NUM
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2008 |
NUM
1 - 2
VIL
19%
26%
56%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2008 |
RMA
4 - 3
NUM
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |