Análisis Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.15
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 1978 |
ELC
0 - 2
VCF
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1978 |
VCF
1 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 1978 |
BUR
2 - 0
VCF
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1978 |
VCF
2 - 0
RMA
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 2
VCF
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 1978 |
ATH
6 - 0
RAY
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1978 |
RAY
0 - 1
ELC
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 mar. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 1
RAY
74%
17%
10%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1978 |
RAY
0 - 0
BUR
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1978 |
RMA
5 - 2
RAY
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |