Análisis Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.52
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 2012 |
RMA
0 - 0
VCF
89%
7%
3%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2012 |
VCF
4 - 0
AZA
66%
19%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 1
LEV
75%
16%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2012 |
AZA
2 - 1
VCF
35%
27%
39%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 mar. 2012 |
GET
3 - 1
VCF
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2012 |
RAY
6 - 0
OSA
42%
26%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
RSO
4 - 0
RAY
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 2
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2012 |
MAL
4 - 2
RAY
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 mar. 2012 |
RAY
3 - 0
BET
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |