Análisis Valencia vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.51
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.9%
Empate
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
6.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 1956 |
RJA
1 - 0
VCF
39%
22%
39%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 1956 |
VCF
2 - 1
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1956 |
SEV
4 - 0
VCF
64%
18%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1956 |
VCF
5 - 1
VAD
76%
14%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1956 |
ALA
3 - 3
VCF
36%
23%
41%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 1956 |
RJA
1 - 0
VCF
39%
22%
39%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 1956 |
PUL
2 - 2
RJA
39%
24%
37%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1956 |
RJA
1 - 2
CDC
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 abr. 1956 |
MAL
0 - 2
RJA
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 1956 |
RJA
3 - 0
UDE
71%
16%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |