Análisis Valencia vs Real Sociedad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.02
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.5%
Empate
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 0
VCF
61%
19%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 1941 |
VCF
3 - 1
ESP
60%
18%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 jun. 1941 |
VCF
4 - 0
CEL
72%
15%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 jun. 1941 |
CEL
1 - 2
VCF
50%
20%
30%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 jun. 1941 |
SEV
2 - 1
VCF
62%
17%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 1941 |
RSO
2 - 3
RMA
35%
23%
42%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 jun. 1941 |
RSO
2 - 2
ESP
42%
21%
38%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 jun. 1941 |
ESP
6 - 0
RSO
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 jun. 1941 |
ATM
0 - 0
RSO
82%
11%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 may. 1941 |
RSO
2 - 1
ATM
39%
21%
40%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |