Análisis Valencia vs Real Sociedad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.37
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11.2%
Empate
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 ene. 1944 |
ATH
2 - 1
VCF
67%
17%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1943 |
VCF
1 - 0
RMA
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 dic. 1943 |
SAB
2 - 4
VCF
28%
23%
49%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 1943 |
VCF
5 - 3
OVI
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1943 |
CEL
1 - 2
VCF
43%
22%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 ene. 1944 |
CAS
3 - 0
RSO
61%
18%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1943 |
RSO
1 - 4
ATH
39%
23%
38%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1943 |
RSO
2 - 0
ATM
37%
22%
41%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 1943 |
RMA
4 - 1
RSO
78%
12%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1943 |
RSO
3 - 0
GRA
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |