Análisis Valencia vs Real Sociedad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2004 |
VCF
2 - 0
AND
66%
21%
13%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
ATH
2 - 2
VCF
33%
28%
39%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2004 |
VCF
2 - 1
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 2
VCF
27%
25%
48%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 ago. 2004 |
VCF
1 - 3
ZAR
76%
16%
8%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 0
RSO
41%
26%
33%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2004 |
RSO
1 - 1
LEV
67%
20%
13%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2004 |
RMA
1 - 4
RSO
76%
15%
10%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
RSO
1 - 1
MAL
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2004 |
VAD
2 - 2
RSO
37%
27%
36%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |