Análisis Valencia vs Real Sociedad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.43
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.6%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2011 |
OSA
1 - 0
VCF
24%
26%
51%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2011 |
VCF
3 - 6
RMA
26%
25%
49%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 3
VCF
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 abr. 2011 |
VCF
5 - 0
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2011 |
GET
2 - 4
VCF
35%
26%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 2011 |
RSO
2 - 1
FCB
6%
16%
78%
|
79 | 96 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2011 |
ATH
2 - 1
RSO
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
RSO
2 - 1
SPO
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2011 |
ATM
3 - 0
RSO
69%
18%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2011 |
RSO
1 - 3
HER
47%
29%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |