Copa de la Liga de España 1/16
Global 5-3
Análisis Valencia vs UB Conquense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.89
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.47
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 1986 |
UBC
2 - 2
VCF
16%
24%
60%
|
77 | 32 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1986 |
VCF
1 - 0
CAD
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1986 |
FCB
3 - 0
VCF
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 1986 |
VCF
3 - 1
HER
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 1986 |
SEV
0 - 2
VCF
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 1986 |
UBC
3 - 1
MST
60%
23%
16%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1986 |
UBC
2 - 2
VCF
16%
24%
60%
|
32 | 77 | 45 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 1986 |
GUA
1 - 0
UBC
49%
27%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 1986 |
UBC
2 - 2
MAN
63%
23%
14%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 abr. 1986 |
SSR
0 - 0
UBC
49%
27%
24%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |