Análisis Valencia Mestalla vs Atlético Baleares
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 2008 |
UES
5 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2008 |
VAL
4 - 1
GRA
34%
29%
37%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 oct. 2008 |
PXD
0 - 2
VAL
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 1
BEN
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 2008 |
SAB
2 - 0
VAL
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 2008 |
ATB
0 - 0
GAV
22%
26%
52%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2008 |
TER
1 - 0
ATB
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 2008 |
ATB
1 - 3
BAD
23%
27%
51%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2008 |
IBI
2 - 0
ATB
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2008 |
ATB
1 - 0
ALC
21%
26%
53%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |