Análisis Valencia Mestalla vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.2%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 oct. 1999 |
CEP
3 - 1
VAL
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 4
ONT
68%
20%
13%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 sep. 1999 |
TER
3 - 3
VAL
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 2
GRA
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 sep. 1999 |
FCB
1 - 1
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 oct. 1999 |
HER
1 - 0
GAN
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1999 |
LOR
3 - 2
HER
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 1999 |
HER
0 - 0
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1999 |
MLL
1 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1999 |
CEP
0 - 2
HER
28%
27%
44%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |