Análisis Valencia Mestalla vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
20.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
27.1%
Empate
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
52.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 2015 |
ATB
0 - 1
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
BAD
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 mar. 2015 |
HOS
2 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
UES
53%
26%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2015 |
GIM
3 - 1
VAL
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
HER
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2015 |
HER
3 - 0
ATB
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2015 |
BAD
2 - 0
HER
21%
28%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
HOS
55%
25%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2015 |
UES
2 - 1
HER
15%
26%
60%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |