Análisis Valencia Mestalla vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
24.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
29.5%
Empate
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
45.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.23
Goles esperados
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 2015 |
OLO
2 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
HOS
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2015 |
RCD
1 - 1
VAL
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 sep. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 0
MAF
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2015 |
COR
3 - 2
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
ATB
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2015 |
SAB
1 - 2
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
BAD
64%
23%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 sep. 2015 |
FCB
0 - 0
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2015 |
HER
1 - 2
REU
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -2 |