Análisis Valencia Mestalla vs Pego
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.78
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
10.4%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.41
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 1988 |
RAC
0 - 0
VAL
27%
28%
45%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1988 |
VAL
0 - 0
BUR
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1988 |
ALA
1 - 0
VAL
27%
28%
45%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 sep. 1988 |
VAL
7 - 1
ALI
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 1988 |
GAN
1 - 0
VAL
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 1988 |
PEG
2 - 0
ELC
26%
27%
47%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1988 |
ASP
3 - 2
PEG
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1988 |
PEG
0 - 0
CAN
41%
29%
31%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1988 |
VAL
3 - 1
PEG
69%
20%
11%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1988 |
PEG
1 - 1
BEN
20%
29%
51%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +1 |