Análisis Valencia Mestalla vs Pego
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.49
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.7%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2001 |
VIN
1 - 0
VAL
15%
24%
61%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2001 |
VAL
3 - 1
TCF
85%
10%
5%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2001 |
VAL
3 - 1
FOY
84%
12%
5%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2001 |
CAS
0 - 0
VAL
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2001 |
VAL
2 - 1
PIN
83%
13%
5%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2001 |
PEG
2 - 1
FOY
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2001 |
CAS
3 - 2
PEG
32%
29%
39%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2001 |
PEG
2 - 1
PIN
63%
24%
14%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 2001 |
ONT
0 - 3
PEG
45%
28%
27%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 2001 |
PEG
3 - 2
DEN
68%
20%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |