Análisis Valencia Mestalla vs Poblense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.71
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
23%
Empate
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
12%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.57
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 may. 1974 |
VAL
2 - 1
GAN
67%
22%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 may. 1974 |
OLI
1 - 0
VAL
48%
29%
23%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 may. 1974 |
VAL
1 - 1
ALC
69%
22%
9%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 may. 1974 |
CAL
2 - 0
VAL
43%
31%
27%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 abr. 1974 |
VAL
2 - 0
ADC
63%
23%
13%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 1973 |
CDM
2 - 1
PBL
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 may. 1973 |
PBL
2 - 0
OLI
63%
23%
15%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 may. 1973 |
ALC
3 - 1
PBL
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 may. 1973 |
PBL
2 - 1
VIN
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 1973 |
VIL
3 - 0
PBL
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |