Análisis Valenciennes vs Bastia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 1978 |
MON
3 - 2
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 1978 |
VAL
2 - 1
PSG
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 ene. 1978 |
ASS
2 - 1
VAL
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 dic. 1977 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASN
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1977 |
LYO
1 - 2
VAL
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 0
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1978 |
LEN
3 - 4
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 1978 |
LYO
2 - 1
BAS
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1978 |
BAS
3 - 1
STR
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 1977 |
REI
1 - 3
BAS
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |