Análisis Valenciennes vs Caen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 may. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
VAL
35%
28%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 4
PSG
27%
27%
47%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2012 |
LYO
4 - 1
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
NIC
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
MPL
1 - 0
VAL
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 may. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 3
SOC
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2012 |
LIL
3 - 0
CAE
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 0
LOR
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 1
CAE
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 4
ASS
38%
28%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |