Análisis Real Valladolid vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 4
VAD
26%
28%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2015 |
VAD
0 - 0
LUG
68%
21%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2015 |
MLL
1 - 5
VAD
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2015 |
SMR
2 - 0
VAD
17%
26%
57%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2015 |
VAD
2 - 0
ALA
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 2
MIR
53%
27%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2015 |
GIR
3 - 0
ALC
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 3
ALB
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
PON
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2015 |
NUM
2 - 2
ALC
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |