Análisis Real Valladolid vs CD Guardo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.39
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
8.4%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
3.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 sep. 1981 |
CDG
1 - 5
VAD
23%
22%
56%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 1981 |
VAD
1 - 3
RMA
21%
27%
53%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 1981 |
ZAR
1 - 1
VAD
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 1981 |
VAD
3 - 0
SLA
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 abr. 1981 |
FCB
2 - 1
VAD
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Guardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 1981 |
CDG
0 - 0
CDE
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1981 |
TOR
2 - 1
CDG
44%
27%
29%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 sep. 1981 |
CDG
1 - 5
VAD
23%
22%
56%
|
35 | 74 | 39 | -1 |
| 24 may. 1981 |
CDG
2 - 0
SAL
71%
19%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1981 |
CIU
1 - 2
CDG
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |