Análisis Real Valladolid vs CD Toledo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.83
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 1995 |
VAD
2 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1995 |
CDT
3 - 0
VAD
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 ene. 1995 |
ATH
1 - 1
VAD
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 1995 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALB
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 1995 |
VAD
2 - 1
EXT
79%
14%
8%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 1995 |
LEG
2 - 3
CDT
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1995 |
CDT
3 - 0
VAD
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 ene. 1995 |
CDT
0 - 0
RMC
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 1995 |
VIL
2 - 0
CDT
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 1995 |
CDT
1 - 1
MUR
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |